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The Risk Takers Podcast

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The Risk Takers Podcast

GoldenPants13

World Cup, NFL Predictions, State of Industry & Identifying Rec Flow | Ep 165

July 22, 2026 6:00am 2:20

This week we have a Q&A extravaganza. 42 questions were asked on Twitter - and we get through all of them besides 2 golf questions that one of the hosts decided to cut out (not naming names). News includes someone gaming...

"The Most Pure Form of Betting" Horse Racing w/ Dennis Montoro | Ep 164

July 15, 2026 4:00am 2:07

This week we are joined by professional horse bettor Dennis Montoro (https://x.com/dennycaps1) about all things horse betting. Denny explains why getting a good fair is only one of the important modeling problems in hors...

Non-Technical Traits All Top Bettors Have & ENG v. MEX | Ep 163

July 08, 2026 4:00am 1:50

The news almost becomes the main topic in this episode, where GP and SP breakdown the record breaking England v. Mexico World Cup game that did most likely over a billion dollars of volume between all markets.The main to...

Sharp Taker EvenSteven Talks About Maxing Efficiency | Ep 162

July 01, 2026 4:00am 1:56

Today on the show we are joined by EvenSteven (https://x.com/evenstevengg) - a sports bettor with seven-figures of profit on prediction markets.Steven talks about why most top down bettors shouldn't try to originate or m...

World Cup Betting Including GPs Biggest Loss of All Time | Ep 161

June 24, 2026 6:00am 2:13

This episode SP and GP get into the first World Cup on Prediction Markets. The insanity of this world cup has surpassed our wildest expectations and we discuss what makes it unlike anything we have ever seen before. Big ...

From DFS Crusher to "Fantasy Football for Rich Kids" (Venture Capital) w/ James G | Ep 160

June 18, 2026 4:00am 1:51

Today GP and SP talk to James Gettinger, founding partner of Gutter Capital - one of the top preforming VC funds in the world.Why is James on our podcast you might ask? Well, before venture capital, James was one of the ...

Dead Bottom-Up Edges and SPs Triumphant Return | Ep 159

June 10, 2026 6:00am 2:06

First we welcome SP back to the podcast and he shares some exciting life news that explains his absence last week.Then SP and GP both give an example of an originating edge that they had at some point - not shocking that...

Who Does AI Help in Sports Betting (PeanutBettor Guest Host) | Ep 158

June 04, 2026 6:00am 2:21

This week SP is AFK so we get Mr. PeanutBettor to sub in as a guest host. We cover who we think will be most helped by AI along with a lot of news and great questions. Clearly SP holds the show together because this went...

What Sportsbooks Can Teach You About Market Making & Kalish v. Kalshi | Ep 157

May 27, 2026 5:00am 2:25

This week we kick it off with some lessons we learned retroactively from sportsbooks after we started market making on prediction markets. Then we cover the news - including the Matt Kalish v. Kalshi saga that is still g...

Why the Edge in RFQs isn't the Pricing w/ TroyCuban | Ep 156

May 20, 2026 4:00am 1:52

This week SP and GP are joined by Troy (https://x.com/troycuban) to talk about how he has made over $700k on Kalshi this year despite never originating a bet in his life.Troy is slightly different than our typical guest ...

Managing Risk Hidden Risk on Prediction Markets | Ep 155

May 13, 2026 4:00am 2:06

Record breaking episode for most questions asked - if you asked a question and we didn't get to it, it's because this episode would have been 4 hours and we will answer on our next solo show.Today SP and GP talk about th...

Million Dollar Manual Trading w/ Clay Alter | Ep 154

May 06, 2026 5:00am 2:08

Today we interview Clay Alter (ClayA on Kalshi) about his start in sports betting and recent rise up the Kalshi leaderboard. Clay shocks SP and GP when he says he manages his orders fully from the orders tab on the Kalsh...

How Complex do Models Need to be in 2026 & PM News Breaks Contain | Ep 153

April 29, 2026 6:00am 2:09

Nerd alert. The main topic is a discussion on deterministic v. probabilistic models in the current betting environment. News includes the solider who bet on himself to capture a foreign leader and made $440k before getti...

Play Sports Betting on "Hard Mode" by Betting Main Lines w/ Justin | Ep 152

April 22, 2026 5:00am 2:10

Today we are joined by Justin (https://x.com/LazyBrain64) - a professional basketball bettor who bets only mainlines. That's right - no NBA props!This is a guy who bets his opinion, has lots of manual inputs into his mod...

Masters Recap & Returning to "Sharp Taking" | Ep 151

April 15, 2026 4:00am 2:06

GP tries to get back in the good graces of the sharp taking community while talking about the Masters. SP walks through the golf betting model he spun up just in time for the biggest event of the year. Some news goes the...

Which Path Should You Choose in Betting/PMs & Golf Tick Size | Ep 150

April 08, 2026 6:00am 1:38

In this episode we outline paths for people of all skill levels in the new betting/ predicting ecosystem. GP continues his twitter rant on deci-cent pricing in golf, and the boys answer the rest of the listener questions...

Bet Like a Lawyer & Lumberyard AP Strategy w/ Alex | Ep149

April 01, 2026 5:00am 2:11

Today we welcome Alex to the podcast (https://x.com/Landtrader8375). In his first podcast appearance he tells us about leaving his 9 year career in law for full-time betting, how he comes to a hypothesis on big spots tha...

Exactly How to Start your First Automated Trading Project + PM Doom & Gloom | Ep 148

March 25, 2026 5:00am 2:09

This episode covers a lot of recent news, walks you through how to get started with automated API interaction and muses on  would you rather have a beer w/ the PM doomers or evangelists?0:00 What would your first API pro...

How to Make a Living Betting on What Someone is Going to Say w/ Foster| Ep 147

March 18, 2026 6:00am 2:15

For months our podcast has neglected one of the most interesting segments of prediction markets - "Mention Markets". Well no longer! Today we interview Foster, one of the best mention market traders currently operating.H...

A Sustainable Approach to Downswings (+RFQ IDs) | Ep 146

March 11, 2026 5:00am 1:51

We get deep in our feelings in this episode. SP and GP talk about some of their worst downswings and how they have learned to handle them. A long discussion of the pros & cons of requester ids follows and then some great...

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